Can Israel Count on Donald Trump's Support?

Israel has long enjoyed a favourable relationship with President Donald Trump, who has made significant efforts to support the country. One need only look at his recognition of Jerusalem as Israel's capital, a move that stirred controversy but also strengthened Israel's standing in the United States. However, the future remains uncertain, and the balance of power in the region has been shifting.

Favourable Support, but Limited Patience

Despite his pro-Israel stance, Trump has also demonstrated a lack of patience with Israel's actions that have undermined his support. In the past, Israel frequently confronted him on various fronts, making him appear inconsistent. This included repeatedly saying one thing and doing the opposite, as well as escalating tensions without informing Trump, leaving the US to clean up the aftermath. If such stunts were attempted again, the consequences could be severe, with Trump potentially viewing Israel more as an adversary than an ally.

Positive Reception in Israel, Mixed Reception Elsewhere

In Israel itself, there is a striking paradox. Jews in Israel view Trump very positively, with many believing he would be a reliable ally if he were to run again. In contrast, Jews in America tend to view him negatively, which is not without justification. Trump's track record includes anti-Muslim rhetoric and policies that some feel undermine Jewish interests. Despite these qualifications, Trump has done significant work to promote peace in the Middle East, often persuading reluctant Arab leaders to engage in negotiations. This has been a key factor in Israel's diplomacy, but the future is still uncertain.

Challenges and Change

While Trump was successful in promoting peace efforts eight years ago, the current political and social climate is different. His age, the escalation of conflicts, and the changing political landscape may affect his ability to achieve similar goals. Trump's policy style, characterized by a direct and uncompromising approach, worked in the past but may no longer be as effective. The world has also become more complex, with ongoing wars and international tensions complicating the political climate. Trump will have to navigate this new terrain and may find it difficult to achieve the same results he did during his previous term.

Immigration and Anti-Muslim Politics

However, there is one aspect of Trump's legacy that still holds significance for Israel: his immigration and anti-Muslim politics. These policies have slowed down the growth of anti-Zionism in the USA, which is crucial for Israel's future. Even though Trump's personal popularity is waning, his views on immigration and religion could continue to influence American politics, potentially benefiting Israel.

Uncertainty and the Future

Ultimately, the future is uncertain. Trump's lack of a consistent policy and his tendency to shift based on the situation may limit his ability to deliver on promises. Yet, his support for Israel and his diplomacy efforts will continue to shape the political landscape. As Israel looks to the future, it must balance the hope of continued support with the reality of a changing world.

Conclusion

The relationship between Israel and Donald Trump is complex and multifaceted. While the past has shown that Trump can be a strong ally, the future will determine whether this support can be sustained. Regardless of Trump's personal views, his legacy and the policies he has implemented will continue to impact Israel and the region for years to come.