The Future of the Middle East: A Roadmap to Peace and Stability

Since 1948, the Middle East has been a region marked by conflict and division. Despite the Six Day War in 1967, when Israel captured the West Bank and the Golan Heights, the term 'new' is often addressed in the context of peace agreements between Israel and Arab countries. However, such agreements remain elusive. For instance, former U.S. President Donald Trump spoke of such peace, but it proved to be a mere dream for many.

A Golden Age of Unity and Prosperity

Back in the days following the great conquests of Caliph Umar, the Middle East enjoyed a period of unity and prosperity, with territories from Iraq to Iran, Arabia to the Levant, all governed under a single empire. This era was characterized by peace, security, and the fulfillment of prophesies brought by the Prophet Muhammad, leading to instances such as the safe journey of a young woman from Damascus to Medina alone without any interference. This golden age is one that most regimes in the Middle East would prefer to forget, due to the natural borders and the absence of tin-pot regimes and monarchies exploiting their people.

Colonial Legacy and Artificial Borders

Artificial borders and regimes were a product of colonial powers. Through their 'divide and rule' policies, they instilled arbitrary borders, followed by the installation of kings and monarchs, thus perpetuating their influence. Unfortunately, this legacy has led to ongoing conflicts and instability. Noteworthy conflicts stemming from this period are the ongoing chaos in Libya, Syria, and Sudan, and the resurgence of groups like ISIS, Al-Qaeda, and others.

Towards a New Normal

As the winds of change blow across the Middle East, some predict a better future, especially in terms of strained Arab-Israeli relations. However, the situation remains complex. While recent developments suggest a potential strengthening of ties, the outcome of these relationships, particularly concerning the future of Jerusalem, seem uncertain. It is crucial to keep an eye on these regional dynamics, as any misstep can lead to unintended consequences.

War or Chaos

Amongst the emerging scenarios, the biggest question is whether these changes will solidify under peaceful agreements or lead to more chaos similar to what we witnessed in Syria. Future conflicts and Iran's place in the region are also on the radar. Should direct conflict not be the case, it is theorized that Iran may face a similar scenario to Syria, starting with political protests.

The Western Perspective

Furthermore, the impact of these regional developments extends to the international community, particularly Western countries. With ongoing issues of migration, stability in the Middle East will be key to addressing the root causes of immigration. It is essential to note that any disruption or chaos will likely press more people towards seeking refuge elsewhere.

Ultimately, the future of the Middle East hinges on a combination of internal peace, regional cooperation, and the ability to overcome long-standing adversities. As we move forward, the goal should be a stable and prosperous Middle East where the lessons learned from history are pivotal in shaping a better present and future.